ZC civ.xo cboe/cbot corn volatility index cboe index cboe
ZS siv.xo cboe/cbot soybean volatility index cboe index cboe
zw WIV.XO WHEAT VOLATILITY INDEX CBOE INDEX CBOE
Reminder: Also though it can be helpful outside of market hours. Its accuracy will be when the CBOE Indice is actually open (usually open outcry hours for that product) to see the hours simply open the symbol ie ^OIV on a 10 minute chart. And give it at least 2 bars to âcatch upâ. So say on oil the strongest most accurate signals wold be 9:20 to 2:30 PM ET.
Trader - i missed the big trade due to choppy market
Any additional filters you add on will risk removing both winning and loosing trades. So you need to evaluate if they elminate more winners than loosers. When those filters are style orientied it will take more time to learn how to use them correctly. This is why we focus so much on system being the dominant decision maker.
11:22:01 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} keep working on it
11:22:03 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} you will learn how to use it
11:22:07 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} like I said its a style indicator
11:22:13 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} choppy is a warning for chop/reversal
11:22:19 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} the market just finished going down
11:22:23 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} had a bmx
11:22:29 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} hit a deviation level
11:22:39 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} small apex at bottom
11:22:43 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} flipped apex
11:22:47 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} choppy market warning was âalerting you of the moveâ
11:22:55 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} versus simmply inhibiting you
11:22:59 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} as the trend was changing diretion
11:23:17 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} veruss geting choppy in the same direction (ie while in a short and then choppy apears
11:23:21 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} choppy is to help you when the âtrend is âdoneâ
11:23:37 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} which it was
11:23:39 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} then it reversed
11:24:04 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} lots of signs for that reversal (apex reversal, deviation, bmx, small apex at deviation, choppy) etcâŠ
11:24:14 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} donât use style till you know you should be using it
11:24:23 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} stick with system
11:24:26 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} add in style ONLY after testing it over a period of time
11:24:34 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} or style will dominate your trading which is not good
Do you mean in relation to the choppy market warning? As this forum thread is regarding the choppy market warning.
If this is what you meann i would use the EURO Currency CBOE Volatility Indice for the Dollar Index as it is a basket of currencies heavily weighted with the EUR.
If you mean as a cross market style indicator please post under style technical analysis and we can explore it further.
commentary on benefit of choppy market warning: from trade room
15:38:05 {Terry} Hey Darrell, I have been looking at the way you use BMI trading the indicies and thought it would sure be nice if there was something like that of CL
15:38:20 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} missing the forest because of the trees type thing at this point
15:39:02 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} there canât be
15:39:05 {Terry} Turns out there may be something that would work
15:39:11 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} BMI is all 17,000 stocks on the NYSE
15:39:16 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} net positve minus negative
15:39:20 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} oil is well just oil
15:39:29 {Terry} well SOme traders watch the spread between Brent Oil and CL
15:39:58 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} yes that is a oil spread
15:40:03 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} means nothing
15:40:05 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} they can go in totally opposite directions
15:40:06 {Terry} It seems to indicate a move when the spread is out of line
15:40:14 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} I know I have got killed on it
15:40:31 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} ive seen it diverge by 20 points
15:40:38 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} seen it come back together
15:40:41 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} but gave no edge to one side or the other
15:40:49 {Terry} OK just thought I would ask
15:40:55 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} but great thought - ivve been there done that - paid the price
15:41:05 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} so you donât hvae to
15:41:32 {Terry} back to the drawing board.Laughing out loud !
15:41:36 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} there are so many thigs that affect oil
15:41:43 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} inflation
15:41:45 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} dollar
15:41:47 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} internatinoal news
15:41:50 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} wars
15:41:52 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} actual demand
15:41:56 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} opec gouging
15:42:05 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} and just plain old speculating
15:42:11 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} the one thing you woulc watch would be OIV on its own
15:42:35 {Terry} OIV?
15:42:42 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} the nymex volatiltiy indices of implied volatility on oil
15:42:54 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} what we use for choppy market warning
15:42:57 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} its like watching the VIX with SPX
15:43:06 {Terry} oH OK
15:43:30 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} I will show you ones ec
15:45:28 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} oiv should rise as oil fllas
15:45:41 {deblanka_-Arnie} Disconnected 9/20/2013.
15:46:22 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} watch my screen
15:46:25 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} ie whn it drops and oil goes choppy
15:46:31 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} then rises again and oil continues on
15:47:15 {Terry} <>
15:47:40 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} so basically oil goes down
15:47:48 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} oiv goes up
15:48:17 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} oiv goes flat/down - oil goes choppy/up
15:50:04 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} you will need global crosshairs on to match it up
15:50:11 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} but do you see what im saying
15:50:19 {Terry} yup I see it
15:50:30 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} does it make sense?
15:50:33 {Terry} Yes Sir it does
15:50:38 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} try that out start watching it
15:50:41 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} see if it gives you that extra âedgeâ notice etcâŠ
15:50:50 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} ie when market is choppy and OIV dropping or long
15:50:58 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} but when you see it spike expect down moves
15:51:10 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} basically this si what the choppy market is doing
15:51:15 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} its seeing if the trend of Oil is doing what it should with how OIV is moving - ie OIV going UP when oil is going up probaly about to drop or go into chop
15:51:53 {Terry} So its leading and not lagging?
15:51:46 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} OIV going down when oil going up - oil about to rise or go into chop
15:52:17 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} its hard to see this on just the oiv versus the time chart - so I programmed in a trending indicator one using a static number on oil the other using the actual live implied volatilty indices - when they diverge in color (and ideally in price at the same time) expect chop/change in direction - much easier to see
15:52:45 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} yes its IV
15:52:48 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} optoins move before underlings ALWAYS
15:53:48 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} as big boys are hedging ie hey john (jp morgan etc.) we (goldman and the boys) are about sell 50 contracts of oil - I know your long - thanks - he buys puts - market is moving up up up and then BAM it drops - jp takes profit
15:54:03 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} goldman hedged their position
15:54:02 {Terry} I didnt know options preceed a move in futuresâŠgood to know
15:54:06 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} did not have to close it
15:54:13 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} drop is done jp is out of it
15:54:27 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} (Implied volatility of options does as they are buying the options before the move - or selling them off)
15:54:39 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} so oil was rising - while golmand was hedging
15:55:25 {Terry} I didnt know that options preceed a move in the futures. good to know there must be a way of taking advantage of that eh?
15:54:49 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} goldman hedges say 300 contracts of oil they where long on
15:55:01 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} that caused IV to spike in the middle of an up market
15:55:07 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} jp sells it off - bam oil drops
15:55:13 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} they are done
15:55:14 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} now goldman closes the puts for a profit - still has all their long oil contracts
15:55:31 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} market sstarts moving back or goes sidewards
15:55:51 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} if the iv starts lining back up correctly then you see chop come together
15:56:02 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} if not then you stay out
15:56:09 {idleme125-Rob} (Ver:8.00.005) Connected 9/20/2013 [Encryption Active!].
15:56:09 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} till it does
15:56:11 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} the advantage is staying out of the way
15:56:18 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} and not getting âtaken advantage ofâ
15:56:24 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} as you donât know whatthe conversation is - just one happened you wherenât part of it - and you donât know what is about to happen so tigther stops to Be - donât take new trades etcâŠ
15:56:48 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} so the indicator itself is the advantage by giving you the foresight to see something is amiss
15:57:05 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} hope thatwas not TMI
15:57:07 {Terry} MAn I have got a lot to learn
15:57:11 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} just stuff I learned from floor traers etcâŠ
15:57:16 {jayhickman-_Jay} (Ver:8.00.005) Connected 9/20/2013 [Encryption Active!].
15:57:30 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} but when I learn how the market really works - then I seek to see how I can see tha happening
15:57:41 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} hence the choppy market warning
15:57:52 {Terry} Thanks
15:58:02 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} makes you go wow
15:58:07 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} at least I see whats happening now
15:58:12 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} now you see why I am such a big proponent of it
15:58:28 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} so why does jp do this for goldman
15:58:33 {Terry} <>
15:58:34 {Terry} <>
15:58:36 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} so that way goldman will do the ame for jp next time and keep him from taking a big drawdown etcâŠ
15:58:53 {Terry} gooly you make it sound like it is rigged or something
15:58:54 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} like it or not its the way things work
15:58:54 {adrian276_-Adrian} Disconnected 9/20/2013.
15:59:23 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} not so much âriggedâ Laughing out loud !
15:59:37 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} just hey I am going to sell a bunch of stuff - I onw your long you may want to hedge - by the way next time yoiu do that please return the favor - scratch my back I scratch yours -
15:59:48 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} you are standing beside this guy all day in the pit
15:59:54 {Terry} With their money I would call that rigged
15:59:58 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} you hit each other
16:00:03 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} spit on each other
16:00:06 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} sweat on each other
16:00:09 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} and help each other
16:00:12 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} as of the end of the day you just want to survie make some cash
16:00:18 {pavitos-Brian_P} <>
16:00:19 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} watch floored you will see what I mean
16:00:35 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} Ive moved the market myself
16:00:38 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} ie buying 20 gold contracts
16:00:44 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} massive future positions
16:00:48 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} etcâŠ
16:00:52 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} in margin of course
16:00:56 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} anyone can move the market with the capital
16:01:06 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} smart to know if your standing aroudn 20 guys moving it that you give each other a little heads up now and then to get it back
16:01:19 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} choppy market warning lets you see it
16:01:32 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} the âriggingâ if you will
16:01:38 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} also it could be just 2 traders same instutition one long one short
16:01:51 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} etcâŠ
16:01:57 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} either way wahtever the reason is - options are doing oppositie in their value based on what they should be doing based on the trend so something is up
16:02:11 {EstebanâFX_â} <>
16:02:15 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} the explanation above is just one of the reasons 9main reasons - but still just 1 of them that this happens
16:02:31 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} also this is why we follow the trend
16:02:37 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} follow the chart
16:02:42 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} canât know everything but you can see it all on the chart
16:03:36 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} risk management good system you will be ok
16:03:43 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} but you can see how stle gives you a nice edge
16:03:50 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} (does not help at all without good system and risk maangemetn)
16:03:58 {Darrell_Diagnostic_Trading} but does help if you have it
16:04:07 {Terry} Makes sense
EVZ is technically for eur/usd - but all fx is interconnected its a big web⊠so i use it on other fx pairs are there are currently not any other iv indices available on the cboe for IV volatility indice currency pairs - (obviously advise testing on other currency pairs if using EVZ as a filter on them)
not sure what you mean on times - i use this mostly during the day - but it does work ok at night as well
Iâm trying to watch the âApex Choppy Market Warning [Video]â, but get the message that âThis video is privateâ. I am an Elite Member and also subscribed to the P3 Alerts. How do I get to view this video? Thanks!! Jean