Confusion about trade results with Iron Condor


#1

So I was using the new calculator that was posted (I’ve attached a screen shot of the inputs). I put on the trade, I believe correctly, and it expired within the range where it should’ve been profitable, however it ended up losing (demo) dollars. I’ll also post from the Nadex account log my entries and the exits and such, but I don’t understand how on a trade that had the potential to make $41.40 and expired within the profitable zone it ended up losing -$7.60. I’ve bought and sold the correct contracts at about the correct prices (within a pip or two). My understanding (and this could be wrong) is that if the price was to expire at 105.20 the maximum result of $41.40 would’ve been made. If the price expired below 105.632 and above 105.268 there would have been some profit less than $41.40. Anything outside those ranges would have resulted in loses. Since the price expired with the range I would’ve expect SOME sort of profit, but as you can see from the log, it resulted in a loss. Not sure what I’m reading incorrectly. Any help would be appreciated.

Buy 9/4/2014 20:47:07 1 USD/JPY 104.70-105.70 (10PM) @ 105.55 -85 Fee Payment 9/4/2014 20:47:07 1 USD/JPY 104.70-105.70 (10PM) @ 105.55 -0.9 Sell 9/4/2014 20:47:15 1 USD/JPY 105.20-106.20 (10PM) @ 105.51 -69 Fee Payment 9/4/2014 20:47:15 1 USD/JPY 105.20-106.20 (10PM) @ 105.51 -0.9

Settlement Payout 9/4/2014 22:00:09 1 SHORT USD/JPY 105.20-106.20 (10PM) @ 105.51 85 Fee Payment 9/4/2014 22:00:09 Expiration Fee: 1 SHORT USD/JPY 105.20-106.20 (10PM) @ 105.51 -0.9 Settlement Payout 9/4/2014 22:00:09 1 LONG USD/JPY 104.70-105.70 (10PM) @ 105.55 65 Fee Payment 9/4/2014 22:00:09 Expiration Fee: 1 LONG USD/JPY 104.70-105.70 (10PM) @ 105.55 -0.9


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#2

You choose contracts that didn’t have the same floor/ceiling. The sell has a floor of 105.20 and the buy has a ceiling of 105.70. This setup has you trying to profit above 105.55 and below 105.51 at the same time. It did point out the need for the calculator to tell you if the spreads are a good match in that respect, so thanks for posting your trade.