Nadex Binary Odds of Winning With Darrell's Expertise

Sorry this is kind of an odd question, I was just wondering if I could ask Darrell Martin a direct question. Given your level of expertise in trading, when you make a trade with binary options that you feel good about, given everything you know and the calculus that went into the decision, what level of certainty do you possess concerning the outcome? I feel like as a new trader and given the volatile nature of the market, I feel like I am “shooting into the dark” and that my odds are not much better (often less) than 50% that things will go as I would like and my $50 will turn into $100 instead of resulting in a total loss and $0.

But seeing videos like the one you posted on Apex’s YouTube page where you quickly increased your money several times resulting in an over 400% profit in 10 minutes (Live Nadex Straddle Binary Trade 472% in 10 Minutes - YouTube

), I guess my question is how consistently can you personally, as an expert, pull something like this off? How hard is it for you, as an expert, to say start with $50, do a quick binary trade and turn it into $100, then do another and turn that $100 into $200, then once more and turn that $200 into $400? What are the odds that you will pull this off versus lose everything?
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It all depends on the strategy you implementing Buy Sell Otm Itm Butterfly Strangle Double binary etc

And what rules you use for entry exit etc Ie core Elite Epc News Etc The strategy and the system rules will totally impact this

Also you must have proper risk/position size management

You would not have $50 and risk $50 that would be 100% risk

Also again I stress proper risk mgmt

If you do not have a strategy, with proper risk mgmt you would be shooting in the dark

You need to combine them correctly to increase probability % wins Profitability % made when lose win Planability rules

To get the numbers you are seeking

I mainly do news (news stat based) straddles spreads/and binary butterflies Cores with seasonal probability, epc trades itm binaries, elite on itm binaries double binaries, spreads, futures, forex, stocks

These strategies and systems give me the needed probabilities

Just buying or selling ATM $50 binaries wo probabilities is shooting in the dark

The question was a bit vague but I tried to highlight the points that answer it I hope this helps