News Trades

#1

I was interested to know what underlying futures you would expect to move the most on the various US financial news releases

#2

Depends on which report: Tonight AUD/USD on employment GBP/USD on GBP interest Rates EUR/USD on EUR interest Rates Unemployment - Gold - but also a lot of USD/CAD reports at same time so tomorrow USD/CAD Every report varies - combinations of events that day vary… - have to do your homework to see the expectations of moves what moves most what happens when xyz comes out compared to expectations, last report a year ago, what other reports that day - day before day after etc… - lot of homework for about 3 months but then you got a book of trades to last a lifetime

#3

Depends on the trade - on AUD/USD - i will use AUD/USD spreads

On GBP/USD and EUR/USD and USD/CAD - i will use those pairs - Maybe Gold on the USD/CAD with unemployment on USD (but claims are not the same as NFP etc… so not as bent towards gold)

on the post AUD/USD trades i will compare the trades for R/R on both binaries and spreads to see which are best.

#4

[quote=darrell] on the post AUD/USD trades i will compare the trades for R/R on both binaries and spreads to see which are best.[/quote]

If we stay within 1 DD of either side, then it seems the strikes might be too expensive. May have to go with spreads.

#5

spreads at night - spread or binaries in the AM

#6

what about eur/jpy pair for tomorrow (ECB rate decision)? we will have two events for ECB rate decision tomorrow - at 7:45 and another at 8:30. The one at the 8:30 will probably higher impact. However, we will also have US unemployment claims at 8:30. So, if ECB rate decision has negative effects on Euro and unemployment claims has negative effects on USD (or both positive effects), then we may not see major movement in EUR/USD. However, JPY does not seem to have any major news tonight. So, what do you think?

#7

Good plan… but no deviations so i rarely trade it note if eur is negative

EUR/USD (EUR down/jpy up)

and say USD/JPY (USD up (jpy down)

jpy up/down - jpy neutral

So in theory could make EUR go direction But if they are both negative or both positive - then that would cancel it out also…

#8

By the way, when should we enter the market for Euro interest rate decision? before 7.45 or before 8.30? Can we expect bonus signal for this news?

#9

I would do before the interest announcement

Would not wait on press conference

Same strategy spreads or binaries use deviations. May do signals feel free to do it either way.

#10

good trade not there on interest rate - but great one on GBP/USD

on eur/usd great trade on press conference on gold - great trade on press/usd/cad annoucements on usd/cad - worked out - eventually - but would have closed early due to mixed reports

#11

USD CAD moved +1 DEV off the report (took its sweet time but it made it) EUR/USD Moved +5 then -2 Dev - mainly off the press conference GBP/USD Moved +1 Dev - off the 4:30 report Gold - take your pick - it moved down a -1 dev - then back up to almost +.5 - then back down to about a -.7 dev all this morning!

#12

Perfect USD/CAD strangle today 5 reports at once - perfect move to 1.5 dev - 1 dev from where we started 100% roi in about 3 minutes